Not So Fast

The media chorus is unanimous. The race is over. Barack Obama has won. Hillary should drop out. Tim Russert and Time Magazine have declared the winner, and it is Barack Obama. No it isn’t. He doesn’t have enough delegates to be the nominee. Neither does Hillary. It is mathematically impossible, as we are constantly reminded, for Hillary Clinton to win enough delegates in the remaining primaries to clinch the nomination. What is never mentioned is that it is also mathematically impossible for Obama to win enough delegates in the remaining primaries to clinch the nomination.

The nomination will be decided by the superdelegates. The superdelegates have not yet weighed in. Why would that be, I wonder? Could it be because they are waiting to see what will happen? Does Tim Russert know what is going to happen? It doesn’t seem crazy to me at all to think that something might happen between now and the end of June that would cause the superdelegates to vote for Hillary, or that would cause the Florida votes to be counted. What if Tony Rezko fingers Obama? Obviously the superdelegates agree with me. If they thought the race was over, they would say so. They, and they alone, have the power to make it be over.

The pundits have so far been wrong about pretty much everything in this election season. A couple of weeks ago, the conventional “wisdom” was that Obama was going to win Indiana. Now that Hillary has won, the CW is that she didn’t win by enough. A big deal is being made of Obama’s double digit win in North Carolina, a win that is entirely the result of his 91% share of the black vote. In the general election, the Democratic candidate will win 91% of the black vote no matter who it is. Hillary won a majority of the votes in North Carolina that will matter in the general election.

The degree to which the mainstream media is in the tank for Obama is truly stunning. I understand being in love with the idea of Obama. Electing our first black President would be a wonderful thing on so many levels, but this blatant rush to judgment is unusually unprofessional.

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